← Segunda División 2021 · Mon, Sep 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 42% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Lugo win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Huesca +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 35' | ⚽ (og) | Manu Barreiro · Huesca |
| 39' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Huesca |
| 82' | 🟨 | Julio Buffarini · Huesca |
| 83' | ⚽ | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 165.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1412.23 | 1577.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.97 | -6.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 61.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.34 | 29.00 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |