← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Sep 12, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Anderson Cordeiro · Fuenlabrada |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Brahim Konate · Fuenlabrada |
| 60' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
| 64' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
| 64' | 🟥 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rubén Pulido · Fuenlabrada |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Pedro León · Fuenlabrada |
| 86' | 🟨 | Juanma Marrero |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 223.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1494.94 | 1453.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.36 | -26.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.84 |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.09 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.73 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |