← Segunda División 2021 · Sat, Aug 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Pulido
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 38% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Ponferradina win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Ponferradina +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Yuri · Ponferradina |
| 23' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 26' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Ponferradina |
| 34' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Girona |
| 53' | 🟨 | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ivan Rodríguez · Ponferradina |
| 73' | 🟨 | Christian Stuani · Girona |
| 83' | ⚽ | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
| 85' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Antonio Ríos · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jose Luis Zalazar · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Juncà · Girona |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nahuel Bustos · Girona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 1184.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1472.87 | 1597.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.34 | -4.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 25.94 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |