← Segunda División 2021 · Fri, Aug 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Zaragoza win | 18% | 5.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Valladolid −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 17' | ⚽ | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 19' | 🟨 | Javi Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 81' | 🟨 | Lucas Olaza · Valladolid |
| 85' | 🟨 | Josep Chavarría · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lluis Lopez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Roberto Jiménez · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Toni Villa · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 80.00 | 384.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1567.95 | 1462.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.19 | 7.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 6.92 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.97 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |