← Segunda División 2021 · Sun, Aug 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 20% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
| 23' | 🟨 | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Viti Rozada · Oviedo |
| 33' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Lucas Ahijado · Oviedo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 63' | 🟨 | Juan Antonio Ros · Lugo |
| 78' | ⚽ | José Ángel Carrillo · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Erik Jirka · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Joan Femenías · Oviedo |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Joselu · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 561.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1499.09 | 1413.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.59 | 30.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.88 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 63.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 32.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -2.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 29.51 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -1.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |