← Serie B 2021 · Fri, May 6, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 |
| Como 1907 win | 17% | 6.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Como 1907 +1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 28' | ⚽ | Samuel Di Carmine · Cremonese |
| 47' | 🟨 | Stefano Gori · Como 1907 |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Samuel Di Carmine · Cremonese |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 521.00 | 490.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1394.05 | 1523.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.00 | -34.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| league points | 50.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.04 | 25.73 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |