← Serie B 2021 · Fri, May 6, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
| Ternana win | 25% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Frank Tsadjout · Ascoli |
| 19' | ⚽ | Frank Tsadjout · Ascoli |
| 27' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Ternana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Ascoli |
| 46' | ⚽ | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 60' | ⚽ | Frank Tsadjout · Ascoli |
| 63' | ⚽ (og) | Marino Defendi · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 521.00 | 1190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1497.86 | 1452.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.49 | 25.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 65.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 29.66 |
| state index | 0.48 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |