← Serie B 2021 · Fri, May 6, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 63% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.73 |
| Spal win | 15% | 6.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Benevento −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mattia Finotto · Spal |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Benevento |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mattia Finotto · Spal |
| 67' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 78' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattia Viviani · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 30 | Shots | 18 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 12 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 339.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1558.67 | 1425.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.27 | 16.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 69.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |