← Serie B 2021 · Fri, May 6, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 37% | 2.57 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 34' | 🟨 | Woyo Coulibaly · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Yordan Osorio · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 217.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1390.20 | 1488.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.69 | -26.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.40 | 24.39 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |