← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Benevento win | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| AC Monza −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mattia Viviani · Benevento |
| 48' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Christian Pastina · Benevento |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alessandro Vogliacco · Benevento |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gennaro Acampora · Benevento |
| 85' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · AC Monza |
| 88' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 303.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1553.29 | 1574.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.13 | -17.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 46.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 68.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 27.47 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |