← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 42% | 2.26 |
| Pordenone win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Crotone +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.77 |
| Under | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
| 27' | 🟨 | Luca Calapai · Crotone |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 58' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Pordenone |
| 59' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Crotone |
| 64' | ⚽ | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alessandro Lovisa · Pordenone |
| 85' | ⚽ | Karlo Butić · Pordenone |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 241.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1274.80 | 1391.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.83 | 14.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 17.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 26.33 |
| state index | -1.10 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |