← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Massa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Perugia win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Perugia +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 36' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Antony Iannarilli · Ternana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1184.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 3.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1442.16 | 1504.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.17 | 25.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| league points | 54.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.44 | 28.60 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |