← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 55% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| Cittadella win | 18% | 6.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cittadella +0.75 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 61' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 62' | ⚽ | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 303.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1477.49 | 1570.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.24 | 8.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 53.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 5.06 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |