← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Spal win | 32% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 63% | 1.52 |
| Spal −0.25 | 37% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 12' | ⚽ | Marco Pinato · Spal |
| 31' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 35' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 38' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Frosinone Calcio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 51' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Frosinone Calcio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Spal |
| 67' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Frosinone Calcio |
| 67' | 🟥 | Przemysław Szymiński · Frosinone Calcio |
| 88' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 119.00 | 425.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1404.98 | 1528.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.69 | -2.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 40.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |