← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 25, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 25% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 7' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 41' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 328.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1496.52 | 1501.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.92 | -2.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| league points | 58.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.23 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.20 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |