← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 25, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.48 |
| Ternana win | 17% | 6.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Benevento −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Mattia Viviani · Benevento |
| 45' | ⚽ | Federico Barba · Benevento |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
| 84' | ⚽ | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Antony Iannarilli · Ternana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Federico Barba · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 328.00 | 1179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1589.88 | 1426.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.73 | 26.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| league points | 69.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.47 | 28.29 |
| state index | 0.78 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |