← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 18, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
| Brescia win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| AC Monza −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Brescia |
| 49' | ⚽ | José Machín · AC Monza |
| 81' | ⚽ | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 291.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1572.39 | 1575.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.85 | 12.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| league points | 67.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |