← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 18, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Ascoli |
| 65' | 🟨 | Danilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 82' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 168.00 | 503.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1514.30 | 1473.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.33 | -11.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 29.92 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |