← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 18, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 |
| Cosenza win | 11% | 10.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −1.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cosenza −1.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 17' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 24' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Cosenza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 34' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Cosenza |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Sauli Väisänen · Cremonese |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alessandro Di Pardo · Cosenza |
| 55' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Cremonese |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nicolò Fagioli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 472.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1551.60 | 1337.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.94 | -4.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 43.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 67.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 8.95 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.20 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |