← Serie B 2021 · Mon, Apr 18, 10:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
| Crotone win | 25% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Spal −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | David Schnegg · Crotone |
| 21' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Crotone |
| 51' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 73' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 86' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Rossi · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 107.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1401.64 | 1369.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.20 | -10.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 38.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.94 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |