← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Massa
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Pisa win | 30% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | George Pușcaș · Pisa |
| 48' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Hjörtur Hermannsson · Pisa |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 313.00 | 1409.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.37 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1481.11 | 1513.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.69 | -3.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 51.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 3.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 27.33 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |