← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Cosenza win | 18% | 5.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza +0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
| 48' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · AC Monza |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Alessandro Di Pardo · Cosenza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 68.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1329.62 | 1564.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.54 | 13.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.80 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 4.85 | 3.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.60 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |