← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 52% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Reggina win | 19% | 6.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 14' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 25' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
| 27' | 🟨 | Adriano Montalto · Reggina |
| 28' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 31' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Ascoli |
| 52' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Reggina |
| 55' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 63' | 🟨 | Përparim Hetemaj · Reggina |
| 66' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 495.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1462.25 | 1444.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.14 | -12.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 55.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.23 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |