← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 36% | 2.88 |
| Como 1907 win | 33% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Como 1907 +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 14' | ⚽ | Amato Ciciretti · Como 1907 |
| 21' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 35' | ⚽ | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 76' | 🟥 | Vittorio Parigini · Como 1907 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 88' | 🟥 | Matteo Solini · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.72 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 494.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1428.05 | 1480.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.50 | -25.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 47.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |