← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Pordenone win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Alessandria −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Emanuele Torrasi · Pordenone |
| 30' | ⚽ | Michele Marconi · Alessandria |
| 36' | 🟨 | Federico Casarini · Alessandria |
| 49' | 🟨 | Luca Parodi · Alessandria |
| 50' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Pordenone |
| 52' | ⚽ | Tommaso Milanese · Alessandria |
| 56' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 463.00 | 220.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.24 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1357.30 | 1302.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.16 | 23.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.37 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| league points | 26.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 0.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.95 | 26.62 |
| state index | -1.80 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |