← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 63% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.90 |
| Spal win | 13% | 8.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| US Lecce −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Alberto Almici · Spal |
| 33' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · US Lecce |
| 55' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · US Lecce |
| 66' | ⚽ | Þórir Jóhann Helgason · US Lecce |
| 75' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 282.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1614.95 | 1405.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.15 | -21.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 65.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |