← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 58% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Ascoli win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 16' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 19' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · AC Monza |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 279.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1555.24 | 1471.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.57 | -8.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 61.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.15 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 29.52 |
| state index | 0.73 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |