← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Apr 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
| 46' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 83' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Lucca · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 1405.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1513.29 | 1567.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.39 | 7.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 62.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 4.11 | 3.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.97 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |