← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Apr 6, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.94 |
| Como 1907 win | 19% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Como 1907 −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 61' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Como 1907 |
| 63' | 🟨 | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 67' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Como 1907 |
| 72' | 🟨 | Danilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 77' | ⚽ | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Como 1907 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 81' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 85' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ettore Gliozzi · Como 1907 |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 156.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1515.17 | 1434.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.95 | 11.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| league points | 48.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 2.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 27.52 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.85 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |