← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Apr 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 56% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Alessandria win | 18% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria −0.75 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese −0.75 | 48% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.94 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Alessandria |
| 28' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 30' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Cremonese |
| 44' | 🟥 | Cedric Gondo · Cremonese |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 49' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Alessandria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 70' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aristidi Kolaj · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 459.00 | 459.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1557.87 | 1361.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.98 | -33.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.70 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| league points | 64.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 27.56 |
| state index | 0.20 | -1.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |