← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Apr 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Ternana win | 29% | 3.49 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ternana +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 17' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 20' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alessandro Celli · Ternana |
| 39' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · US Lecce |
| 44' | ⚽ | Luka Bogdan · Ternana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Frederik Sørensen · Ternana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Valentin Gendrey · US Lecce |
| 78' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · US Lecce |
| 86' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1159.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1426.88 | 1603.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.19 | -4.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.84 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |