← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Apr 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Cosenza win | 20% | 5.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Spal −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
| 41' | ⚽ | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 46' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 49' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Caso · Cosenza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Cosenza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 68' | 🟥 | Joaquín Larrivey · Cosenza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 81' | 🟨 | Kristjan Matošević · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 94.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1409.04 | 1325.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.14 | -25.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.48 | -1.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |