← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Crotone win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Crotone +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | David Schnegg · Crotone |
| 36' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Gabriele Angella · Perugia |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Theophilus Awua · Crotone |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vasile Mogoș · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Beghetto · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 184.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1375.93 | 1480.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.86 | -11.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.82 |
| league points | 19.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 14.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |