← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria win | 36% | 2.78 |
| Spal win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Spal +0 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Simone Corazza · Alessandria |
| 30' | 🟨 | Marco Pinato · Spal |
| 32' | ⚽ | Elio Capradossi · Spal |
| 49' | 🟨 | Abou Ba · Alessandria |
| 50' | ⚽ | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 53' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Spal |
| 63' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 74' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 81' | ⚽ | Michele Marconi · Alessandria |
| 82' | 🟨 | Michele Marconi · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alessandria | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta |
| coach days | 456.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1361.38 | 1408.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.15 | 1.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 44.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 25.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 12.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.68 |
| state index | -1.52 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |