← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 22% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| US Lecce −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Adrian Leon Barišić · Frosinone Calcio |
| 24' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Frosinone Calcio |
| 30' | 🟨 | Federico Gatti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 40' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · US Lecce |
| 57' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · US Lecce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | 🟨 | Antonino Gallo · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Asencio · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 275.00 | 397.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1596.57 | 1530.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.82 | 8.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.82 |
| league points | 59.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 26.55 |
| state index | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |