← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 |
| Ternana win | 29% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ternana −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 33' | 🟨 | Federico Furlan · Ternana |
| 37' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
| 52' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luka Bogdan · Ternana |
| 66' | 🟨 | Bruno Martella · Ternana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ignacio Lores Varela · Cittadella |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serigne Saliou Thioune · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Camillo Tavernelli · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 275.00 | 1156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1495.73 | 1412.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.69 | -4.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 48.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 28.20 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |