← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Mar 20, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Pordenone win | 18% | 5.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Brescia +0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 41' | ⚽ | Nicolò Cambiaghi · Pordenone |
| 69' | 🟨 | Youssouph Cheikh Sylla · Pordenone |
| 89' | 🟨 | Emanuele Torrasi · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 200.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1278.96 | 1562.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.39 | -3.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 47.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| league points | 13.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 4.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.41 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.76 | 26.31 |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |