← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Mar 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 59% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.36 |
| Como 1907 win | 16% | 6.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −1 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Como 1907 −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 26' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Como 1907 |
| 32' | 🟨 | Andrea Ghion · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 68' | ⚽ | Amato Ciciretti · Como 1907 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Filippo Nardi · Como 1907 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Gyabuaa · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 292.00 | 474.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1494.77 | 1400.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.64 | -18.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.81 |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 4.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 27.94 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |