← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Crotone win | 17% | 6.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −1 | 54% | 1.85 |
| AC Monza −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Crotone |
| 56' | 🟨 | David Schnegg · Crotone |
| 59' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · AC Monza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 66' | 🟨 | Pasquale Giannotti · Crotone |
| 83' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Pereira · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Augustus Kargbo · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Schirò · Crotone |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Barberis · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 28 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 261.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1570.60 | 1379.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.24 | 3.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 58.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.73 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 25.73 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |