← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · US Lecce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Danilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Elias Cobbaut · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 28 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 138.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1503.74 | 1597.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.75 | 8.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.65 |
| league points | 44.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 3.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 22.93 | 26.02 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |