← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Mar 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 51% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spal win | 21% | 4.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Spal −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 36' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 40' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Colombo · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 58' | 🟨 | Elio Capradossi · Spal |
| 61' | ⚽ | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Latte Lath · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 288.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.24 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1498.64 | 1416.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.72 | 14.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.64 |
| league points | 48.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 4.19 | 4.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |