← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Mar 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 66% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 |
| Pordenone win | 11% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cremonese −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bassoli · Pordenone |
| 51' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 61' | ⚽ | Nicolò Cambiaghi · Pordenone |
| 68' | ⚽ | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 80' | ⚽ | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 86' | 🟥 | Samuel Di Carmine · Cremonese |
| 88' | 🟨 | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 439.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1547.65 | 1281.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.27 | -22.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.70 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 57.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 4.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.87 | 24.52 |
| state index | 0.17 | -1.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |