← Serie B 2021 · Tue, Mar 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Crotone win | 29% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Marić · Crotone |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Crotone |
| 33' | 🟨 | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 35' | 🟨 | David Schnegg · Crotone |
| 44' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | ⚽ | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 85' | 🟨 | Augustus Kargbo · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 165.00 | 379.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1359.93 | 1535.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.51 | 7.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.53 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 25.92 |
| state index | -1.23 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |