← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ternana −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.82 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Ternana |
| 32' | 🟥 | Marino Defendi · Ternana |
| 34' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Caso · Cosenza |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Ternana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Reda Boultam · Cosenza |
| 46' | 🟨 | Mattia Proietti · Ternana |
| 49' | 🟨 | Sanasi Sy · Cosenza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1135.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1387.04 | 1347.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.26 | -5.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 42.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 37.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 5.94 | 9.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 26.07 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |