← Serie B 2021 · Fri, Mar 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Cittadella win | 24% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 42' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Adrián Bernabé · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 70' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 74' | 🟨 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 74' | 🟥 | Santiago Visentin · Cittadella |
| 81' | ⚽ | Stanko Jurić · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Danilo · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 130.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.58 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1489.22 | 1505.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.52 | 7.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| league points | 37.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 64.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |