← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 35% | 2.73 |
| US Lecce win | 34% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia +0 | 51% | 1.95 |
| US Lecce +0 | 49% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.64 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · US Lecce |
| 21' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Perugia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟥 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alexis Blin · US Lecce |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · US Lecce |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · US Lecce |
| 79' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 26 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 278.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1486.04 | 1607.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.25 | 6.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| league points | 44.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 26.38 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |