← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.66 |
| Over | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 20' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 22' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 26' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 84' | ⚽ | Daniel Boloca · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 460.00 | 370.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1480.60 | 1526.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.04 | -14.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.38 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |