← Serie B 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 02:30 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Alessandria win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alessandria −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Crotone −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Crotone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Crotone |
| 65' | 🟨 | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 74' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Prestia · Alessandria |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luca Calapai · Crotone |
| 84' | 🟨 | Federico Mattiello · Alessandria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Crotone |
| 88' | 🟨 | Federico Mattiello · Alessandria |
| 88' | 🟥 | Federico Mattiello · Alessandria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 156.00 | 429.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 4.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1366.15 | 1394.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.58 | -29.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.74 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 15.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.54 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 28.17 |
| state index | -1.36 | -1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |