← Serie B 2021 · Sat, Mar 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 36% | 2.87 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| AC Monza +0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 17' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · AC Monza |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 47' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟥 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 58' | 🟥 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · AC Monza |
| 82' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mattioli · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 247.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1516.96 | 1532.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.31 | -7.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 46.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 2.81 | 2.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |