← Serie B 2021 · Wed, Mar 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.61 |
| Ascoli win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ascoli −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
| 25' | 🟨 | Þórir Jóhann Helgason · US Lecce |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Ascoli |
| 56' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 70' | ⚽ | Federico Ricci · Ascoli |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tuia · US Lecce |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 244.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1599.38 | 1488.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.22 | 25.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 52.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 28.66 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |